Telepathy test: which number did I write?

#1
Hi, I invite you to participate in a simple telepathy test.

At about 5:45 p.m. on this Sunday July 19 (Brussels, Belgium time), I wrote carefully one of the three numbers: "1", "2", "3" on my sheet of paper, and I surrounded it with a circle. Then, I wrote it again twice.

I shall repeat this number (which was obtained using a random number generator) from time to time during this test.

I ask you to write it here (if you think you know it, even with a doubt). You may also answer "I don't know".

So, your answer should be one of the three numbers: "1", "2", "3", or "I don't know".

I would also appreciate a little comment; you may say, for example, how confident you are in your answer.

Thank you for participating.
 
#2
Hi, I invite you to participate in a simple telepathy test.

At about 5:45 p.m. on this Sunday July 19 (Brussels, Belgium time), I wrote carefully one of the three numbers: "1", "2", "3" on my sheet of paper, and I surrounded it with a circle. Then, I wrote it again twice.

I shall repeat this number (which was obtained using a random number generator) from time to time during this test.

I ask you to write it here (if you think you know it, even with a doubt). You may also answer "I don't know".

So, your answer should be one of the three numbers: "1", "2", "3", or "I don't know".

I would also appreciate a little comment; you may say, for example, how confident you are in your answer.

Thank you for participating.
Shut up.
 
#16
It's definitely 3 in this reality but you could have just shifted to another reality. So I'm 100% sure it's 2 in that reality and for certain it's 1 in yet another. But there's an additional reality where I really don't know because I don't know anything in that reality... or perhaps... but wait that could be this reality?
 
#18
Thank you for your answers.
One person answered 1 (Hurmanetar)
Two people replied (correctly) 2 (Badass and Ian Gordon)
And three members of this forum responded 3 (malf, Johnny and alkhemst)
The hit rate is 2/6 = 33%, at the level of pure chance.
However, I didn't find the answers by Hurmanetar, Johnny and alkhemst credible.
So the hit rate for credible answers becomes equal to 2/3 = 67%, significantly above chance. Ian Gordon answered correctly both in this test and in the previous one.

For completenes, I should mention that member Selina had answered correctly 2 in a credible way (she had answered just "2", if I recall correctly), she was the first who gave an answer to this test, but she apparently deleted her answer after Badass had written:
It is probably better to avoid such kind of extreme aggressivity in a test thread like this, some people may come to think it's normal for them to attack too.
If I include all credible answers, including the one that was apparently deleted, the hit rate becomes equal to 3/4 = 75%.
 
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